What it doesProofLive data PricingMethodology Start free

News in · Edge out

The intelligence layer for prediction markets.

Rates, elections, crypto, sports: every one of those markets moves on news. Resolv reads the wire the second it breaks, and it's the first to tell you which contracts are priced wrong, why, and how much to put behind it.

NEWS WIRE · CONNECTING No card required

KALSHI EXAMPLE
Fed cuts rates in July
58¢ market price 63¢ what we think it's worth
BUY
+5¢ underpriced · 73% confident
Suggested stake 3.5% of bankroll
SAMPLENOT LIVE PRICES
2exchanges in one place
Every 90sprices and news refreshed
5reasons behind every call
14 daysfree, no card

What it does

Three things, every minute.

01

Finds the mispriced ones

We watch every open contract on both exchanges and flag the ones trading away from what the evidence says they're worth.

02

Shows you why

Every call comes with the headlines and numbers behind it. If we can't point to a reason, we don't make the call.

03

Sizes the bet

A suggested stake based on how big the edge is and how sure we are, capped so one bad call can't wipe you out.

News breaks.

Resolv reads it in seconds.

The price takes time to catch up.

That window is the opportunity.

How it works

From headline to sized position, in seconds.

01

News breaks

A headline hits the wire.

02

We read it

Scored in seconds: which way it pushes prices, and how hard.

03

We price it

What it's worth, next to what the market is charging.

04

You size it

A suggested stake, capped so one bad call can't hurt you.

That's the whole pipeline in plain English. Read the full methodology →

Proof

We keep score.

Anyone can claim an edge. The only honest test is whether the numbers hold up, so we publish how our forecasts compare to what actually happened.

When we say 70%, does it happen 70% of the time? VALIDATION RUN

Each dot is a group of forecasts. The closer to the line, the better calibrated. Off the line means we were over- or under-confident.

0of our confident calls landed on the right side in validation
4ptminimum edge before we'll call anything; below that, we stay quiet
15%hard cap on any suggested stake, no matter how good it looks

Figures from our current validation run on sample history, not a live track record; we'll publish live results as they accumulate. How we measure this →

Live data

News breaks. We price it.

Real headlines, loading in your browser as you read, each one scored for direction and mapped to the contracts it touches. Pick any headline to see our read.

The wire · live headlines
CONNECTING
Connecting to the wire…

Headlines are live from the public wire; the score is our reading of each one. The contracts shown against them are sample markets for illustration; live market links arrive with the beta. How evidence moves a price →

House rules

Honest by design.

Labeled, always

Anything that isn't live data says so, right where you're looking.

Standby, never stories

When a feed dies you see standby, never made-up headlines.

No black box

Every price breaks into named parts, and the parts add up exactly.

Rules, not promises; they're built into the product. See how →

Pricing

Try it free for 14 days.

Full access from day one. No card to start, and you can cancel with one click.

Basic

If you trade your own money and want a clear call.

$12/month

14 days free

  • The call: buy, sell or sit out, on every market
  • The reason: the headlines driving it, in plain English
  • The size: how much to risk
  • Alerts when a market crosses your price
  • Both exchanges in one watchlist
Start free
Most popular

Pro

If you trade seriously and need to see the workings.

$39/month

14 days free

  • Everything in Basic
  • The full breakdown: every number behind a price, line by line
  • Evidence map: click any claim, land on its source
  • Price gaps between exchanges, after fees
  • Portfolio risk: exposure and worst-case view
  • Export your session for your own records
Start free

Desk

If a team needs it wired into their own systems.

Custom

Talk to us

  • Everything in Pro
  • API access to the pricing engine
  • Seats for your team
  • Audit logs for compliance
  • Custom alerts and data feeds
Get in touch
Not sure which? Start on Basic. If you find yourself wanting to know why a price moved, that's Pro. Read the methodology →

Start free.

Private beta. 14 days, full access, no card.